Clinton has to win 67% of remaining 8 states to catch ObamaSomervell County Salon-Glen Rose, Rainbow, Nemo, Glass....Texas


 
Clinton has to win 67% of remaining 8 states to catch Obama
 


23 March 2008 at 12:54:09 AM
joe

States left and number of pledged delegates each state has:

Indiana - 72
Kentucky - 51
Montana - 16
North Carolina - 115
Oregon - 52
Pennsylvania - 158
South Dakota - 15
West Virginia - 28

Total number of pledged delegates remaining: 507
Total number of pledged delegates Obama is leading with: 171 or 157 (CNN vs. MSNBC)
507-171=336 is the number of delegates that would be left if Clinton caught Obama...with this in mind you can take the 171 plus 50%+1 of the remaining 336 and Clinton would have to receive 171+168 or 339 remaining pledged delegates to take the lead.
Now it's just math to determine the percentage she needs to win (339/507=66.9%).

Source of delegate counts needed: DNC delegate distribution


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1 - joe   23 Mar 2008 @ 8:50:07 AM 

I left off Puerto Rico with their 55 delegates, so the math would be:

562 remaining delegates
Obama lead: 171 or 157
562-171=391
171+196 (50%+1)=367
367/562=65.3%
So 65.3% is needed to catch Obama when Puerto Rico is factored in.


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